Scouting Report
Sean Couturier holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Couturier on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Couturier wins 56.7% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Couturier 54.5% vs Monahan 52.8% (+2.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Monahan 72.9%
Defensive zone
Couturier 62.6%
Neutral zone
Couturier 51.3%
Result
Sean Monahan favored at 51.6%
48.4%
51.6%
Couturier
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Couturier
Monahan
Last 5: Couturier 3-2 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Couturier
Monahan
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
2
1
Couturier
Monahan
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Couturier
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
57.4% (303)
51.5% (641)
+5.9%
Power Play
65.5% (55)
62.8% (129)
+2.7%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (70)
33.3% (9)
+6.7%
On penalty kill, Couturier has a +6.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Couturier is 56.7% vs left-shot opponents (268).
Couturier shoots left. Monahan is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (491).
Home / Away
Couturier
Monahan
Home
54.3% (219)
53.9% (362)
Away
56.9% (209)
52.5% (417)
By Period
Couturier
Monahan
P1
53.2%
48.0%
P2
54.8%
57.0%
P3
57.9%
54.1%
OT
71.4%
100.0%
Final 5 min
57.6%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Couturier
46.0%▼
47.5%
55.6%
Monahan
58.0%▲
53.0%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 16, 2021 | 3 | 07:14 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Nov 16, 2021 | 2 | 19:11 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 30, 2021 | 3 | 15:07 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 30, 2021 | 3 | 07:56 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Oct 30, 2021 | 2 | 17:16 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |