Scouting Report
Sean Couturier holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Monahan on defensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Couturier 53.6% vs Monahan 52.5% (+1.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Monahan 58.9%
Defensive zone
Couturier 81.5%
Neutral zone
Couturier 55.8%
Result
Sean Couturier favored at 70.0%
70.0%
30.0%
Couturier
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Couturier
Monahan
Last 8: Couturier 5-3 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
1
0
Couturier
Monahan
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
2
3
Couturier
Monahan
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Couturier
2
0
Couturier
Monahan
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Couturier
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (792)
53.0% (874)
+0.9%
Power Play
62.9% (70)
54.7% (161)
+8.2%
Penalty Kill
51.3% (234)
47.5% (101)
+3.8%
On power play, Couturier has a +8.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Couturier is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (696).
Couturier shoots left. Monahan is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (710).
Home / Away
Couturier
Monahan
Home
51.4% (541)
53.8% (558)
Away
56.4% (555)
51.7% (578)
By Period
Couturier
Monahan
P1
56.0%
49.5%
P2
52.6%
54.8%
P3
54.3%
52.8%
OT
44.1%
61.9%
Final 5 min
55.3%
53.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Couturier
64.0%▲
56.0%
53.9%
Monahan
40.0%▼
51.0%
52.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2026 | 1 | 13:28 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 3 | 09:21 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 2 | 04:25 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 1 | 15:44 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 28, 2026 | 3 | 13:58 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 28, 2026 | 3 | 11:15 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Jan 28, 2026 | 2 | 05:14 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 28, 2026 | 2 | 05:02 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |