Scouting Report
Sean Kuraly holds a +7.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Kuraly on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Gaudette wins 41.6% vs left-shot opponents — Kuraly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudette 42.8% vs Kuraly 49.0% (-7.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gaudette 89.4%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 52.4%
Neutral zone
Gaudette 75.3%
Result
Adam Gaudette favored at 66.8%
66.8%
33.2%
Gaudette
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Gaudette
Kuraly
Last 8: Gaudette 2-6 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
1
2
Gaudette
Kuraly
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
1
3
Gaudette
Kuraly
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kuraly
0
1
Gaudette
Kuraly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudette
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
41.0% (373)
52.4% (416)
-11.4%
Power Play
41.9% (74)
57.1% (7)
-15.2%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (7)
32.0% (97)
+10.9%
On power play, Kuraly has a +15.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Gaudette is 41.6% vs left-shot opponents (334).
Gaudette shoots right. Kuraly is 45.8% vs right-shot opponents (227).
Home / Away
Gaudette
Kuraly
Home
46.0% (250)
52.1% (259)
Away
35.3% (204)
45.4% (262)
By Period
Gaudette
Kuraly
P1
40.8%
46.8%
P2
42.8%
52.4%
P3
39.7%
47.2%
Final 5 min
42.3%
47.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudette
44.0%▼
45.5%
41.2%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
53.5%
48.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2020 | 3 | 11:29 | Defensive | Adam Gaudette |
| Feb 22, 2020 | 3 | 11:10 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Feb 22, 2020 | 3 | 01:14 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Feb 22, 2020 | 2 | 11:50 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Feb 22, 2020 | 2 | 08:08 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Feb 22, 2020 | 2 | 04:40 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Feb 4, 2020 | 3 | 13:53 | Offensive | Adam Gaudette |
| Feb 4, 2020 | 1 | 03:29 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |