Scouting Report
Sean Kuraly holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Kuraly on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Necas wins 40.3% vs left-shot opponents — Kuraly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Necas 47.6% vs Kuraly 49.5% (-4.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Necas 85.8%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 82.6%
Neutral zone
Necas 53.8%
Result
Sean Kuraly favored at 68.9%
31.1%
68.9%
Necas
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Necas
Kuraly
Last 5: Necas 2-3 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Necas
1
0
Necas
Kuraly
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
1
3
Necas
Kuraly
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Necas
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
43.9% (57)
52.3% (982)
-8.4%
Power Play
31.3% (16)
41.9% (43)
-10.6%
Penalty Kill
66.7% (12)
39.2% (245)
+27.5%
On penalty kill, Necas has a +27.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Necas is 40.3% vs left-shot opponents (62).
Necas shoots right. Kuraly is 44.5% vs right-shot opponents (411).
Home / Away
Necas
Kuraly
Home
44.9% (49)
50.3% (680)
Away
44.4% (36)
48.5% (590)
By Period
Necas
Kuraly
P1
40.5%
49.5%
P2
45.5%
49.6%
P3
52.6%
49.0%
OT
50.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
42.9%
47.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Necas
36.0%▼
38.0%
44.7%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
53.5%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2022 | 1 | 16:41 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Feb 25, 2022 | 1 | 16:37 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Feb 25, 2022 | 1 | 03:45 | Offensive | Martin Necas |
| Jan 13, 2022 | 1 | 16:41 | Defensive | Martin Necas |
| Jan 13, 2022 | 1 | 08:03 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |