Scouting Report
Robert Thomas holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Thomas on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 12 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thomas 51.6% vs Kuraly 50.4% (+1.2%)
H2H factor
Thomas leads 21-11 in 32 meetings
Offensive zone
Thomas 91.0%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 73.2%
Neutral zone
Thomas 62.5%
Result
Robert Thomas favored at 58.7%
58.7%
41.3%
Thomas
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
21
-
11
(32 meetings)
21
11
Thomas
Kuraly
Last 10: Thomas 8-2 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
12
0
Thomas
Kuraly
12 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
4
9
Thomas
Kuraly
13 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thomas
5
2
Thomas
Kuraly
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thomas
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (5,387)
51.6% (5,161)
-0.5%
Power Play
55.8% (927)
56.4% (101)
-0.6%
Penalty Kill
50.2% (697)
44.4% (1,091)
+5.8%
On penalty kill, Thomas has a +5.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Thomas is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (4,967).
Thomas shoots right. Kuraly is 46.0% vs right-shot opponents (2,235).
Home / Away
Thomas
Kuraly
Home
50.9% (3,484)
52.1% (3,205)
Away
52.3% (3,527)
48.8% (3,149)
By Period
Thomas
Kuraly
P1
50.7%
51.2%
P2
53.0%
50.0%
P3
50.8%
50.2%
OT
59.2%
52.3%
Final 5 min
53.3%
49.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thomas
56.0%▲
47.5%
51.6%
Kuraly
66.0%▲
61.0%
50.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 9, 2025 | 3 | 17:25 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 3 | 17:11 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 3 | 11:49 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 3 | 02:27 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 2 | 18:48 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 1 | 19:39 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 3 | 07:04 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 2 | 11:27 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 2 | 11:21 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Jan 30, 2024 | 3 | 08:34 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 8, 2023 | 3 | 08:02 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 3 | 13:32 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 3 | 03:03 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 2 | 19:51 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 2 | 10:12 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 1 | 15:12 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 1 | 07:55 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 1 | 04:47 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Mar 19, 2022 | 3 | 18:40 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 19, 2022 | 3 | 18:17 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |