Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Kuraly wins 54.3% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kuraly 51.0% vs Monahan 52.5% (-1.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Monahan 74.7%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 72.9%
Neutral zone
Monahan 52.5%
Result
Sean Monahan favored at 74.7%
25.3%
74.7%
Kuraly
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Kuraly
Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
1
Kuraly
Monahan
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kuraly
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (464)
53.0% (874)
-0.4%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
54.7% (161)
+45.3%
Penalty Kill
46.5% (155)
47.5% (101)
-1.0%
On power play, Kuraly has a +45.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Kuraly is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (385).
Kuraly shoots left. Monahan is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (710).
Home / Away
Kuraly
Monahan
Home
55.9% (322)
53.8% (558)
Away
46.0% (298)
51.7% (578)
By Period
Kuraly
Monahan
P1
55.9%
49.5%
P2
46.7%
54.8%
P3
50.7%
52.8%
OT
0.0%
61.9%
Final 5 min
50.6%
53.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kuraly
66.0%▲
61.0%
51.1%
Monahan
40.0%▼
51.0%
52.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2026 | 3 | 01:24 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |