Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.4% vs 51.2%). Look for Monahan on offensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 21 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kuraly 50.4% vs Monahan 51.2% (-0.8%)
H2H factor
Monahan leads 35-22 in 57 meetings
Offensive zone
Monahan 80.2%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 80.8%
Neutral zone
Kuraly 54.1%
Result
Sean Kuraly favored at 50.4%
50.4%
49.6%
Kuraly
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
22
-
35
(57 meetings)
22
35
Kuraly
Monahan
Last 10: Kuraly 3-7 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
3
18
Kuraly
Monahan
21 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
13
6
Kuraly
Monahan
19 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Monahan
6
11
Kuraly
Monahan
17 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kuraly
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (5,161)
51.1% (11,407)
+0.5%
Power Play
56.4% (101)
53.6% (2,582)
+2.8%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (1,091)
45.9% (772)
-1.5%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Kuraly is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (4,119).
Kuraly shoots left. Monahan is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (9,335).
Home / Away
Kuraly
Monahan
Home
52.1% (3,205)
52.3% (7,387)
Away
48.8% (3,149)
50.2% (7,374)
By Period
Kuraly
Monahan
P1
51.2%
51.0%
P2
50.0%
51.7%
P3
50.2%
51.0%
OT
52.3%
53.5%
Final 5 min
49.1%
50.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kuraly
66.0%▲
61.0%
50.4%
Monahan
40.0%▼
51.0%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2026 | 3 | 01:24 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 3 | 06:55 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 2 | 18:48 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 2 | 17:23 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 2 | 09:34 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 2 | 06:11 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 1 | 11:46 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 3 | 15:46 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 3 | 12:42 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 3 | 09:29 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 3 | 03:35 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 3 | 01:08 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 2 | 14:53 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 2 | 10:50 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 2 | 00:06 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 1 | 17:26 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 1 | 06:11 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 1 | 00:05 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |