Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.1% vs 51.3%). Kuraly wins 46.0% vs right-shot opponents — Pinto shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kuraly 51.0% vs Pinto 51.1% (-0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pinto 58.8%
Defensive zone
Pinto 50.6%
Neutral zone
Kuraly 57.1%
Result
Sean Kuraly favored at 53.2%
53.2%
46.8%
Kuraly
Pinto
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Kuraly
Pinto
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pinto
0
1
Kuraly
Pinto
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pinto
0
1
Kuraly
Pinto
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kuraly
Pinto
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (464)
50.5% (556)
+2.1%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
68.0% (25)
+32.0%
Penalty Kill
46.5% (155)
51.1% (94)
-4.6%
On power play, Kuraly has a +32.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pinto shoots right. Kuraly is 46.0% vs right-shot opponents (235).
Kuraly shoots left. Pinto is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (491).
Home / Away
Kuraly
Pinto
Home
55.9% (322)
50.0% (310)
Away
46.0% (298)
52.3% (365)
By Period
Kuraly
Pinto
P1
55.9%
51.8%
P2
46.7%
49.8%
P3
50.7%
53.1%
OT
0.0%
44.4%
Final 5 min
50.6%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kuraly
66.0%▲
61.0%
51.1%
Pinto
54.0%▲
52.5%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2025 | 3 | 11:52 | Neutral | Shane Pinto |
| Oct 27, 2025 | 1 | 17:35 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |