Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.4% vs 50.4%). Look for Kuraly on defensive-zone draws (78% H2H, 9 meetings). Kuraly wins 46.0% vs right-shot opponents — Pinto shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kuraly 50.4% vs Pinto 50.4% (+0.0%)
H2H factor
Kuraly leads 9-7 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Pinto 55.0%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 74.9%
Neutral zone
Kuraly 58.1%
Result
Sean Kuraly favored at 64.3%
64.3%
35.7%
Kuraly
Pinto
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
7
(16 meetings)
9
7
Kuraly
Pinto
Last 10: Kuraly 4-6 Pinto
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pinto
1
3
Kuraly
Pinto
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
7
2
Kuraly
Pinto
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pinto
1
2
Kuraly
Pinto
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kuraly
Pinto
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (5,161)
50.7% (2,752)
+0.9%
Power Play
56.4% (101)
54.4% (90)
+2.0%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (1,091)
45.6% (239)
-1.2%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pinto shoots right. Kuraly is 46.0% vs right-shot opponents (2,235).
Kuraly shoots left. Pinto is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (2,216).
Home / Away
Kuraly
Pinto
Home
52.1% (3,205)
51.1% (1,510)
Away
48.8% (3,149)
49.6% (1,571)
By Period
Kuraly
Pinto
P1
51.2%
48.4%
P2
50.0%
51.9%
P3
50.2%
50.9%
OT
52.3%
46.7%
Final 5 min
49.1%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kuraly
66.0%▲
61.0%
50.4%
Pinto
54.0%▲
52.5%
50.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2025 | 3 | 11:52 | Neutral | Shane Pinto |
| Oct 27, 2025 | 1 | 17:35 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Apr 8, 2025 | 2 | 09:15 | Neutral | Shane Pinto |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 2 | 07:49 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Feb 13, 2024 | 3 | 05:26 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Feb 13, 2024 | 2 | 05:26 | Offensive | Shane Pinto |
| Feb 13, 2024 | 1 | 09:40 | Offensive | Shane Pinto |
| Feb 13, 2024 | 1 | 02:23 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Apr 2, 2023 | 3 | 19:49 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Apr 2, 2023 | 3 | 14:29 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Apr 2, 2023 | 3 | 13:04 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Apr 2, 2023 | 2 | 15:50 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Apr 2, 2023 | 2 | 11:15 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Jan 3, 2023 | 3 | 12:59 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Jan 3, 2023 | 2 | 06:45 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Jan 3, 2023 | 1 | 19:22 | Offensive | Shane Pinto |