Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Kuraly wins 54.3% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kuraly 51.0% vs Crosby 55.1% (-4.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Crosby 88.7%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 76.8%
Neutral zone
Crosby 58.0%
Result
Sean Kuraly favored at 59.4%
59.4%
40.6%
Kuraly
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Kuraly
Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Kuraly
Crosby
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kuraly
2
0
Kuraly
Crosby
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kuraly
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (464)
53.3% (1,025)
-0.7%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
64.7% (249)
+35.3%
Penalty Kill
46.5% (155)
60.0% (15)
-13.5%
On power play, Kuraly has a +35.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Kuraly is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (385).
Kuraly shoots left. Crosby is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (914).
Home / Away
Kuraly
Crosby
Home
55.9% (322)
56.9% (675)
Away
46.0% (298)
54.1% (614)
By Period
Kuraly
Crosby
P1
55.9%
55.1%
P2
46.7%
53.1%
P3
50.7%
58.5%
OT
0.0%
54.2%
Final 5 min
50.6%
54.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kuraly
66.0%▲
61.0%
51.1%
Crosby
46.0%▼
54.0%
55.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2026 | 2 | 12:19 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Jan 11, 2026 | 2 | 10:48 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Jan 11, 2026 | 2 | 00:44 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Jan 11, 2026 | 1 | 08:33 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |