Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Kuraly on defensive-zone draws (78% H2H, 49 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kuraly 50.4% vs Crosby 53.5% (-3.1%)
H2H factor
Kuraly leads 58-51 in 109 meetings
Offensive zone
Crosby 89.7%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 77.3%
Neutral zone
Crosby 58.2%
Result
Sidney Crosby favored at 50.3%
49.7%
50.3%
Kuraly
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
58
-
51
(109 meetings)
58
51
Kuraly
Crosby
Last 10: Kuraly 8-2 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
5
23
Kuraly
Crosby
28 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
38
11
Kuraly
Crosby
49 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Crosby
15
17
Kuraly
Crosby
32 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kuraly
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (5,161)
52.8% (18,031)
-1.2%
Power Play
56.4% (101)
57.4% (4,741)
-1.0%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (1,091)
47.0% (766)
-2.6%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Kuraly is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (4,119).
Kuraly shoots left. Crosby is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (14,886).
Home / Away
Kuraly
Crosby
Home
52.1% (3,205)
55.0% (11,998)
Away
48.8% (3,149)
52.0% (11,559)
By Period
Kuraly
Crosby
P1
51.2%
53.6%
P2
50.0%
53.8%
P3
50.2%
53.3%
OT
52.3%
49.6%
Final 5 min
49.1%
52.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kuraly
66.0%▲
61.0%
50.4%
Crosby
46.0%▼
54.0%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2026 | 2 | 12:19 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Jan 11, 2026 | 2 | 10:48 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Jan 11, 2026 | 2 | 00:44 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Jan 11, 2026 | 1 | 08:33 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 21, 2025 | 2 | 15:01 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Mar 21, 2025 | 2 | 14:53 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Mar 21, 2025 | 2 | 02:46 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Mar 21, 2025 | 2 | 02:40 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Jan 7, 2025 | 3 | 02:16 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 7, 2025 | 1 | 18:18 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Jan 7, 2025 | 1 | 18:10 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Jan 7, 2025 | 1 | 02:45 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 15, 2024 | 2 | 01:55 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Mar 5, 2024 | 2 | 13:57 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 5, 2024 | 2 | 12:25 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 5, 2024 | 1 | 14:03 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 5, 2024 | 1 | 11:09 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Apr 13, 2023 | 3 | 16:35 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Apr 13, 2023 | 3 | 02:42 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Apr 13, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |