Scouting Report
Sean Kuraly holds a +6.4% FO% edge overall. Kuraly wins 53.8% vs left-shot opponents — Novak shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kuraly 49.2% vs Novak 44.9% (+6.4%)
Offensive zone
Novak 81.9%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 82.7%
Neutral zone
Kuraly 51.7%
Result
Sean Kuraly favored at 50.8%
50.8%
49.2%
Kuraly
Novak
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kuraly
Novak
Edge
Even Strength
50.8% (370)
41.7% (206)
+9.1%
On even strength, Kuraly has a +9.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Novak shoots left. Kuraly is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (303).
Kuraly shoots left. Novak is 41.2% vs left-shot opponents (148).
Home / Away
Kuraly
Novak
Home
52.8% (269)
44.9% (118)
Away
44.7% (228)
40.2% (107)
By Period
Kuraly
Novak
P1
53.2%
41.5%
P2
45.8%
44.0%
P3
47.9%
42.0%
Final 5 min
48.0%
42.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kuraly
64.0%▲
53.5%
49.1%
Novak
44.0%▬
43.0%
42.7%