Scouting Report
Sean Kuraly holds a +17.7% FO% edge overall. Kuraly wins 57.6% vs left-shot opponents — Zegras shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kuraly 53.7% vs Zegras 41.3% (+17.7%)
Offensive zone
Zegras 67.9%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 81.2%
Neutral zone
Kuraly 50.2%
Result
Sean Kuraly favored at 54.5%
54.5%
45.5%
Kuraly
Zegras
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kuraly
Zegras
Edge
Even Strength
55.3% (515)
36.5% (156)
+18.8%
Power Play
55.6% (9)
40.7% (27)
+14.9%
Penalty Kill
44.8% (58)
0.0% (3)
+44.8%
On penalty kill, Kuraly has a +44.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zegras shoots left. Kuraly is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (387).
Kuraly shoots left. Zegras is 37.7% vs left-shot opponents (138).
Home / Away
Kuraly
Zegras
Home
57.3% (293)
38.9% (113)
Away
51.2% (289)
32.9% (73)
By Period
Kuraly
Zegras
P1
53.8%
40.0%
P2
51.5%
38.1%
P3
57.6%
31.6%
OT
0.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
53.1%
45.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kuraly
66.0%▲
61.0%
54.3%
Zegras
42.0%▲
28.0%
36.6%