Scouting Report
Sean Kuraly holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Kuraly wins 46.0% vs right-shot opponents — Johnston shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kuraly 51.0% vs Johnston 48.0% (+3.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johnston 81.1%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 63.5%
Neutral zone
Johnston 56.0%
Result
Wyatt Johnston favored at 81.1%
18.9%
81.1%
Kuraly
Johnston
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Kuraly
Johnston
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johnston
0
1
Kuraly
Johnston
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kuraly
Johnston
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (464)
47.3% (666)
+5.3%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
50.7% (69)
+49.3%
Penalty Kill
46.5% (155)
51.4% (35)
-4.9%
On power play, Kuraly has a +49.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnston shoots right. Kuraly is 46.0% vs right-shot opponents (235).
Kuraly shoots left. Johnston is 46.4% vs left-shot opponents (567).
Home / Away
Kuraly
Johnston
Home
55.9% (322)
47.5% (364)
Away
46.0% (298)
48.0% (406)
By Period
Kuraly
Johnston
P1
55.9%
49.4%
P2
46.7%
46.9%
P3
50.7%
47.1%
OT
0.0%
47.1%
Final 5 min
50.6%
46.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kuraly
66.0%▲
61.0%
51.1%
Johnston
40.0%▼
49.0%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2026 | 2 | 03:33 | Offensive | Wyatt Johnston |