Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +11.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Monahan 52.5% vs Jarvis 46.3% (+11.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Monahan 64.1%
Defensive zone
Monahan 87.0%
Neutral zone
Monahan 78.9%
Result
Sean Monahan favored at 87.0%
87.0%
13.0%
Monahan
Jarvis
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Monahan
Jarvis
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
2
0
Monahan
Jarvis
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Monahan
Jarvis
Edge
Even Strength
53.0% (874)
42.6% (54)
+10.4%
Power Play
54.7% (161)
33.3% (6)
+21.4%
Penalty Kill
47.5% (101)
40.0% (15)
+7.5%
On power play, Monahan has a +21.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jarvis shoots right. Monahan is 52.1% vs right-shot opponents (426).
Monahan shoots left. Jarvis is 42.6% vs left-shot opponents (61).
Home / Away
Monahan
Jarvis
Home
53.8% (558)
43.6% (39)
Away
51.7% (578)
38.9% (36)
By Period
Monahan
Jarvis
P1
49.5%
36.0%
P2
54.8%
48.3%
P3
52.8%
36.8%
OT
61.9%
50.0%
Final 5 min
53.5%
23.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Monahan
40.0%▼
51.0%
52.7%
Jarvis
40.0%▲
38.0%
41.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 9, 2025 | 2 | 16:57 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 2 | 09:26 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |