Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Monahan 52.5% vs Pinto 51.1% (+1.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Monahan 67.9%
Defensive zone
Pinto 72.4%
Neutral zone
Monahan 57.4%
Result
Shane Pinto favored at 52.2%
47.8%
52.2%
Monahan
Pinto
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Monahan
Pinto
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
1
0
Monahan
Pinto
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pinto
0
1
Monahan
Pinto
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Monahan
Pinto
Edge
Even Strength
53.0% (874)
50.5% (556)
+2.5%
Power Play
54.7% (161)
68.0% (25)
-13.3%
Penalty Kill
47.5% (101)
51.1% (94)
-3.6%
On power play, Pinto has a +13.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pinto shoots right. Monahan is 52.1% vs right-shot opponents (426).
Monahan shoots left. Pinto is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (491).
Home / Away
Monahan
Pinto
Home
53.8% (558)
50.0% (310)
Away
51.7% (578)
52.3% (365)
By Period
Monahan
Pinto
P1
49.5%
51.8%
P2
54.8%
49.8%
P3
52.8%
53.1%
OT
61.9%
44.4%
Final 5 min
53.5%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Monahan
40.0%▼
51.0%
52.7%
Pinto
54.0%▲
52.5%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2026 | 3 | 16:13 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Jan 20, 2026 | 2 | 07:40 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |