Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.2% vs 50.4%). Look for Monahan on offensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 14 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Monahan 51.2% vs Pinto 50.4% (+0.8%)
H2H factor
Pinto leads 14-13 in 27 meetings
Offensive zone
Monahan 73.7%
Defensive zone
Pinto 74.8%
Neutral zone
Monahan 52.6%
Result
Sean Monahan favored at 56.4%
56.4%
43.6%
Monahan
Pinto
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
14
(27 meetings)
13
14
Monahan
Pinto
Last 10: Monahan 6-4 Pinto
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
10
4
Monahan
Pinto
14 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pinto
1
6
Monahan
Pinto
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pinto
2
4
Monahan
Pinto
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Monahan
Pinto
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (11,407)
50.7% (2,752)
+0.4%
Power Play
53.6% (2,582)
54.4% (90)
-0.8%
Penalty Kill
45.9% (772)
45.6% (239)
+0.3%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pinto shoots right. Monahan is 50.4% vs right-shot opponents (5,426).
Monahan shoots left. Pinto is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (2,216).
Home / Away
Monahan
Pinto
Home
52.3% (7,387)
51.1% (1,510)
Away
50.2% (7,374)
49.6% (1,571)
By Period
Monahan
Pinto
P1
51.0%
48.4%
P2
51.7%
51.9%
P3
51.0%
50.9%
OT
53.5%
46.7%
Final 5 min
50.2%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Monahan
40.0%▼
51.0%
51.2%
Pinto
54.0%▲
52.5%
50.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2026 | 3 | 16:13 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Jan 20, 2026 | 2 | 07:40 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Apr 8, 2025 | 2 | 06:09 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Apr 8, 2025 | 1 | 10:27 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Apr 8, 2025 | 1 | 09:13 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Apr 6, 2025 | 3 | 19:04 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Apr 6, 2025 | 3 | 15:25 | Offensive | Shane Pinto |
| Apr 6, 2025 | 2 | 15:03 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 3 | 17:37 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 3 | 17:30 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 3 | 10:30 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 3 | 10:26 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 2 | 13:49 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 2 | 08:31 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 2 | 04:49 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 2 | 07:00 | Neutral | Shane Pinto |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 2 | 03:39 | Neutral | Shane Pinto |
| Jan 23, 2024 | 3 | 18:35 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 23, 2024 | 3 | 16:33 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Jan 23, 2024 | 3 | 11:29 | Offensive | Shane Pinto |