Sean Monahan vs Steven Stamkos

All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.2% vs 51.1%). Look for Stamkos on neutral-zone draws (83% H2H, 12 meetings).

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Monahan 51.2% vs Stamkos 51.1% (+0.1%)
H2H factor Stamkos leads 28-20 in 48 meetings
Offensive zone Monahan 55.6%
Defensive zone Monahan 51.6%
Neutral zone Monahan 58.1%
Result Sean Monahan favored at 54.6%
54.6%
45.4%
Monahan Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
20 - 28 (48 meetings)
20
28
Monahan Stamkos
Last 10: Monahan 6-4 Stamkos

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
9
7
Monahan Stamkos
16 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
9
11
Monahan Stamkos
20 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stamkos
2
10
Monahan Stamkos
12 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Monahan
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (11,407)
50.5% (9,825)
+0.6%
Power Play
53.6% (2,582)
55.2% (1,729)
-1.6%
Penalty Kill
45.9% (772)
49.6% (827)
-3.7%
On penalty kill, Stamkos has a +3.7% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Monahan is 50.4% vs right-shot opponents (5,426).
Monahan shoots left. Stamkos is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (8,806).
Home / Away
Monahan
Stamkos
Home
52.3% (7,387)
52.8% (6,270)
Away
50.2% (7,374)
49.3% (6,137)
By Period
Monahan
Stamkos
P1
51.0%
49.2%
P2
51.7%
52.7%
P3
51.0%
50.9%
OT
53.5%
54.3%
Final 5 min
50.2%
52.3%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Monahan
40.0%
51.0%
51.2%
Stamkos
66.0%
56.5%
51.1%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Mar 3, 2026 3 15:57 Defensive Sean Monahan
Mar 3, 2026 3 12:32 Offensive Sean Monahan
Mar 3, 2026 3 01:52 Neutral Steven Stamkos
Apr 1, 2025 3 11:04 Offensive Steven Stamkos
Apr 1, 2025 3 05:14 Offensive Sean Monahan
Oct 26, 2024 3 07:47 Neutral Steven Stamkos
Dec 31, 2023 3 18:40 Neutral Sean Monahan
Dec 31, 2023 3 14:20 Defensive Sean Monahan
Dec 31, 2023 3 10:21 Defensive Sean Monahan
Dec 31, 2023 3 04:27 Offensive Steven Stamkos
Dec 31, 2023 2 01:32 Defensive Sean Monahan
Dec 31, 2023 1 15:50 Offensive Steven Stamkos
Mar 10, 2022 2 17:17 Neutral Steven Stamkos
Jan 6, 2022 3 07:20 Offensive Sean Monahan
Jan 6, 2022 3 07:14 Offensive Sean Monahan
Jan 6, 2022 2 09:08 Offensive Steven Stamkos
Jan 6, 2022 1 10:08 Defensive Steven Stamkos
Feb 12, 2019 2 18:47 Defensive Steven Stamkos
Dec 20, 2018 3 18:31 Offensive Sean Monahan
Dec 20, 2018 3 14:50 Defensive Steven Stamkos