Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Seguin on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Monahan wins 53.4% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Monahan 54.5% vs Seguin 55.4% (-1.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Monahan 53.6%
Defensive zone
Seguin 57.1%
Neutral zone
Seguin 56.3%
Result
Tyler Seguin favored at 52.4%
47.6%
52.4%
Monahan
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Monahan
Seguin
Last 7: Monahan 3-4 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
3
Monahan
Seguin
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
3
0
Monahan
Seguin
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
1
Monahan
Seguin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Monahan
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
57.1% (871)
56.9% (478)
+0.2%
Power Play
53.1% (262)
57.4% (54)
-4.3%
Penalty Kill
44.6% (139)
51.3% (76)
-6.7%
On penalty kill, Seguin has a +6.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Monahan is 53.4% vs right-shot opponents (519).
Monahan shoots left. Seguin is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (473).
Home / Away
Monahan
Seguin
Home
55.3% (644)
57.4% (317)
Away
54.5% (628)
55.0% (291)
By Period
Monahan
Seguin
P1
53.9%
50.3%
P2
55.3%
60.4%
P3
54.4%
58.0%
OT
76.5%
57.1%
Final 5 min
55.9%
57.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Monahan
58.0%▲
53.0%
54.9%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
56.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2024 | 3 | 09:59 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Apr 11, 2024 | 1 | 05:01 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Apr 11, 2024 | 1 | 01:56 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 3 | 19:42 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 3 | 15:38 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 3 | 09:07 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 2 | 01:49 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |