Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.7% vs 53.6%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Monahan 52.5% vs Seguin 52.5% (-0.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Monahan 55.8%
Defensive zone
Seguin 52.5%
Neutral zone
Monahan 56.2%
Result
Tyler Seguin favored at 52.5%
47.5%
52.5%
Monahan
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Monahan
Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
1
Monahan
Seguin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Monahan
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
53.0% (874)
53.2% (201)
-0.2%
Power Play
54.7% (161)
60.0% (25)
-5.3%
Penalty Kill
47.5% (101)
44.4% (9)
+3.1%
On power play, Seguin has a +5.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Monahan is 52.1% vs right-shot opponents (426).
Monahan shoots left. Seguin is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (187).
Home / Away
Monahan
Seguin
Home
53.8% (558)
56.3% (126)
Away
51.7% (578)
50.5% (109)
By Period
Monahan
Seguin
P1
49.5%
44.3%
P2
54.8%
52.1%
P3
52.8%
62.5%
OT
61.9%
80.0%
Final 5 min
53.5%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Monahan
40.0%▼
51.0%
52.7%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
53.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2025 | 3 | 13:27 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |