Scouting Report
Jeff Skinner holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Aho on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Skinner wins 58.8% vs left-shot opponents — Aho shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Skinner 51.6% vs Aho 48.7% (+3.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Skinner 77.6%
Defensive zone
Aho 89.8%
Neutral zone
Skinner 50.3%
Result
Sebastian Aho favored at 62.8%
37.2%
62.8%
Skinner
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Skinner
Aho
Last 5: Skinner 2-3 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Skinner
2
0
Skinner
Aho
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Aho
0
3
Skinner
Aho
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Skinner
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
47.5% (200)
47.4% (953)
+0.1%
Power Play
62.0% (100)
58.0% (174)
+4.0%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
41.6% (77)
-41.6%
On penalty kill, Aho has a +41.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Skinner is 58.8% vs left-shot opponents (182).
Skinner shoots left. Aho is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (751).
Home / Away
Skinner
Aho
Home
58.9% (158)
50.2% (609)
Away
44.8% (143)
46.9% (595)
By Period
Skinner
Aho
P1
49.0%
48.7%
P2
47.4%
50.2%
P3
59.6%
47.0%
OT
50.0%
41.7%
Final 5 min
54.1%
47.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Skinner
44.0%▬
44.5%
52.2%
Aho
54.0%▼
56.5%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2019 | 2 | 17:35 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 16, 2019 | 2 | 06:01 | Offensive | Jeff Skinner |
| Feb 7, 2019 | 1 | 06:27 | Offensive | Jeff Skinner |
| Jan 11, 2019 | 3 | 17:57 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Jan 11, 2019 | 2 | 11:44 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |