Scouting Report
Sebastian Aho holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Granlund on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Granlund 49.6% vs Aho 54.9% (-5.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Aho 89.0%
Defensive zone
Granlund 51.3%
Neutral zone
Aho 76.7%
Result
Sebastian Aho favored at 70.0%
30.0%
70.0%
Granlund
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Granlund
Aho
Last 7: Granlund 5-2 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Aho
1
2
Granlund
Aho
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Granlund
3
0
Granlund
Aho
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Granlund
1
0
Granlund
Aho
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Granlund
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
49.5% (588)
54.5% (870)
-5.0%
Power Play
60.5% (43)
62.4% (266)
-1.9%
Penalty Kill
45.2% (93)
37.1% (62)
+8.1%
On penalty kill, Granlund has a +8.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Granlund is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (482).
Granlund shoots left. Aho is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (805).
Home / Away
Granlund
Aho
Home
54.8% (305)
53.9% (603)
Away
45.8% (419)
56.8% (595)
By Period
Granlund
Aho
P1
43.8%
54.1%
P2
51.2%
55.0%
P3
53.9%
57.4%
OT
40.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
49.7%
55.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Granlund
62.0%▲
54.5%
49.6%
Aho
60.0%▲
50.5%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 10, 2024 | 3 | 13:39 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 3 | 07:00 | Defensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikael Granlund |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 2 | 19:47 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 2 | 13:33 | Defensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 2 | 06:32 | Offensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 2 | 04:58 | Defensive | Mikael Granlund |