Nick Paul vs Sebastian Aho

All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Nick Paul holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Paul on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 10 meetings). Paul wins 54.6% vs left-shot opponents — Aho shoots left.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Paul 52.2% vs Aho 51.3% (+1.0%)
H2H factor Paul leads 16-9 in 25 meetings
Offensive zone Aho 66.8%
Defensive zone Paul 78.9%
Neutral zone Paul 53.2%
Result Nick Paul favored at 57.1%
57.1%
42.9%
Paul Aho
Head-to-Head Record
16 - 9 (25 meetings)
16
9
Paul Aho
Last 10: Paul 6-4 Aho

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: Paul
5
3
Paul Aho
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Paul
8
2
Paul Aho
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Aho
3
4
Paul Aho
7 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Paul
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (3,823)
50.2% (6,646)
+2.4%
Power Play
56.2% (484)
58.9% (1,310)
-2.7%
Penalty Kill
46.9% (576)
46.5% (465)
+0.4%

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Aho shoots left. Paul is 54.6% vs left-shot opponents (3,089).
Paul shoots left. Aho is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (5,317).
Home / Away
Paul
Aho
Home
52.8% (2,445)
52.4% (4,325)
Away
51.7% (2,439)
50.1% (4,096)
By Period
Paul
Aho
P1
53.8%
51.1%
P2
51.0%
52.1%
P3
52.2%
50.8%
OT
50.0%
48.9%
Final 5 min
51.3%
50.4%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Paul
54.0%
56.5%
52.3%
Aho
60.0%
50.5%
51.3%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Oct 11, 2024 3 17:53 Neutral Sebastian Aho
Oct 11, 2024 3 10:40 Neutral Sebastian Aho
Oct 11, 2024 2 00:15 Neutral Nick Paul
Nov 24, 2023 1 14:09 Defensive Nick Paul
Nov 11, 2023 2 14:13 Neutral Sebastian Aho
Mar 5, 2023 3 08:59 Offensive Nick Paul
Mar 5, 2023 1 11:06 Defensive Sebastian Aho
Nov 3, 2022 2 01:48 Offensive Nick Paul
Mar 29, 2022 2 00:52 Neutral Nick Paul
Feb 8, 2022 3 17:41 Defensive Nick Paul
Feb 8, 2022 2 12:20 Defensive Nick Paul
Feb 8, 2022 2 12:13 Offensive Sebastian Aho
Feb 8, 2022 2 04:30 Defensive Nick Paul
Feb 8, 2022 1 19:44 Defensive Nick Paul
Feb 8, 2022 1 16:43 Defensive Nick Paul
Jan 27, 2022 3 17:02 Offensive Sebastian Aho
Jan 27, 2022 3 04:27 Defensive Nick Paul
Jan 27, 2022 3 02:03 Offensive Nick Paul
Jan 27, 2022 1 06:30 Defensive Nick Paul
Dec 2, 2021 3 00:36 Offensive Nick Paul