Scouting Report
Sebastian Aho holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Krebs on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Krebs wins 41.3% vs left-shot opponents — Aho shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Krebs 45.9% vs Aho 51.2% (-6.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Aho 90.7%
Defensive zone
Aho 63.5%
Neutral zone
Aho 68.8%
Result
Sebastian Aho favored at 69.8%
30.2%
69.8%
Krebs
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Krebs
Aho
Last 6: Krebs 4-2 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Aho
0
1
Krebs
Aho
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Krebs
3
0
Krebs
Aho
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Krebs
Aho
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Krebs
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
45.5% (501)
48.5% (778)
-3.0%
Power Play
50.0% (20)
63.4% (191)
-13.4%
Penalty Kill
37.1% (35)
50.8% (65)
-13.7%
On penalty kill, Aho has a +13.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Krebs is 41.3% vs left-shot opponents (351).
Krebs shoots left. Aho is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (662).
Home / Away
Krebs
Aho
Home
43.9% (285)
51.3% (530)
Away
46.5% (271)
51.4% (504)
By Period
Krebs
Aho
P1
45.4%
50.0%
P2
50.9%
51.3%
P3
39.7%
52.1%
OT
100.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
47.3%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Krebs
36.0%▼
44.0%
45.1%
Aho
54.0%▼
56.5%
51.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2023 | 3 | 15:54 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 3 | 10:54 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 2 | 14:13 | Defensive | Peyton Krebs |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 2 | 07:10 | Neutral | Peyton Krebs |
| Feb 1, 2023 | 1 | 16:34 | Defensive | Peyton Krebs |
| Nov 4, 2022 | 1 | 18:40 | Defensive | Peyton Krebs |