Scouting Report
Sebastian Aho holds a +8.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Aho 51.2% vs Thompson 43.8% (+8.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thompson 56.5%
Defensive zone
Thompson 77.9%
Neutral zone
Thompson 71.5%
Result
Tage Thompson favored at 71.5%
28.5%
71.5%
Aho
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Aho
Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thompson
0
2
Aho
Thompson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Aho
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
48.5% (778)
43.3% (735)
+5.2%
Power Play
63.4% (191)
50.0% (26)
+13.4%
Penalty Kill
50.8% (65)
36.5% (52)
+14.3%
On penalty kill, Aho has a +14.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots right. Aho is 50.5% vs right-shot opponents (372).
Aho shoots left. Thompson is 41.2% vs left-shot opponents (573).
Home / Away
Aho
Thompson
Home
51.3% (530)
44.5% (407)
Away
51.4% (504)
41.6% (406)
By Period
Aho
Thompson
P1
50.0%
44.4%
P2
51.3%
44.8%
P3
52.1%
40.2%
OT
66.7%
42.9%
Final 5 min
51.9%
38.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Aho
54.0%▼
56.5%
51.4%
Thompson
34.0%▼
41.5%
43.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2023 | 3 | 06:55 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 1 | 08:52 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |