Scouting Report
Sebastian Aho holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Aho 50.5% vs Blueger 48.1% (+3.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Aho 71.2%
Defensive zone
Blueger 84.3%
Neutral zone
Blueger 62.2%
Result
Teddy Blueger favored at 59.4%
40.6%
59.4%
Aho
Blueger
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Aho
Blueger
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Aho
1
0
Aho
Blueger
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Blueger
0
1
Aho
Blueger
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Blueger
0
2
Aho
Blueger
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Aho
Blueger
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (878)
49.4% (265)
+1.1%
Power Play
53.5% (144)
66.7% (9)
-13.2%
Penalty Kill
44.3% (61)
34.0% (50)
+10.3%
On power play, Blueger has a +13.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Blueger shoots left. Aho is 47.8% vs left-shot opponents (703).
Aho shoots left. Blueger is 45.7% vs left-shot opponents (210).
Home / Away
Aho
Blueger
Home
53.8% (571)
49.8% (215)
Away
46.9% (512)
43.1% (109)
By Period
Aho
Blueger
P1
49.0%
46.4%
P2
51.7%
50.4%
P3
50.3%
44.8%
OT
58.8%
100.0%
Final 5 min
49.4%
45.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Aho
60.0%▲
50.5%
50.5%
Blueger
48.0%▬
47.5%
47.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2026 | 3 | 05:31 | Defensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Mar 4, 2026 | 2 | 08:12 | Neutral | Teddy Blueger |
| Mar 4, 2026 | 1 | 19:40 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 4, 2026 | 1 | 16:31 | Neutral | Teddy Blueger |