Scouting Report
Sebastian Aho holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Aho on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 11 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Aho 51.3% vs Blueger 50.0% (+1.3%)
H2H factor
Aho leads 14-12 in 26 meetings
Offensive zone
Aho 89.5%
Defensive zone
Blueger 80.6%
Neutral zone
Aho 52.5%
Result
Sebastian Aho favored at 55.4%
55.4%
44.6%
Aho
Blueger
Head-to-Head Record
14
-
12
(26 meetings)
14
12
Aho
Blueger
Last 10: Aho 5-5 Blueger
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Aho
11
0
Aho
Blueger
11 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Blueger
1
9
Aho
Blueger
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Blueger
2
3
Aho
Blueger
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Aho
Blueger
Edge
Even Strength
50.2% (6,646)
52.2% (3,582)
-2.0%
Power Play
58.9% (1,310)
50.6% (77)
+8.3%
Penalty Kill
46.5% (465)
42.7% (1,103)
+3.8%
On power play, Aho has a +8.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Blueger shoots left. Aho is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (5,317).
Aho shoots left. Blueger is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (3,231).
Home / Away
Aho
Blueger
Home
52.4% (4,325)
51.3% (2,426)
Away
50.1% (4,096)
48.5% (2,336)
By Period
Aho
Blueger
P1
51.1%
49.2%
P2
52.1%
52.2%
P3
50.8%
48.6%
OT
48.9%
40.0%
Final 5 min
50.4%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Aho
60.0%▲
50.5%
51.3%
Blueger
48.0%▬
47.5%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2026 | 3 | 05:31 | Defensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Mar 4, 2026 | 2 | 08:12 | Neutral | Teddy Blueger |
| Mar 4, 2026 | 1 | 19:40 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 4, 2026 | 1 | 16:31 | Neutral | Teddy Blueger |
| Jan 10, 2025 | 3 | 15:01 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Jan 10, 2025 | 3 | 14:53 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Oct 28, 2024 | 2 | 08:06 | Defensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Oct 28, 2024 | 1 | 11:29 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Feb 6, 2024 | 2 | 01:18 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 9, 2023 | 2 | 17:08 | Defensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Dec 9, 2023 | 2 | 07:33 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 9, 2023 | 2 | 03:40 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 9, 2023 | 1 | 18:22 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 9, 2023 | 1 | 16:57 | Defensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 3 | 09:48 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 3 | 09:39 | Defensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 3 | 05:55 | Defensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 1 | 03:01 | Defensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Jan 14, 2023 | 1 | 11:10 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 29, 2022 | 3 | 02:40 | Defensive | Teddy Blueger |