Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Aho wins 55.5% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Aho 50.5% vs Seguin 52.5% (-3.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Aho 66.2%
Defensive zone
Seguin 69.2%
Neutral zone
Aho 53.7%
Result
Sebastian Aho favored at 66.2%
66.2%
33.8%
Aho
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Aho
Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
1
Aho
Seguin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Aho
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (878)
53.2% (201)
-2.7%
Power Play
53.5% (144)
60.0% (25)
-6.5%
Penalty Kill
44.3% (61)
44.4% (9)
-0.1%
On power play, Seguin has a +6.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Aho is 55.5% vs right-shot opponents (380).
Aho shoots left. Seguin is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (187).
Home / Away
Aho
Seguin
Home
53.8% (571)
56.3% (126)
Away
46.9% (512)
50.5% (109)
By Period
Aho
Seguin
P1
49.0%
44.3%
P2
51.7%
52.1%
P3
50.3%
62.5%
OT
58.8%
80.0%
Final 5 min
49.4%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Aho
60.0%▲
50.5%
50.5%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
53.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2025 | 1 | 19:21 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |