Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Seguin on defensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 17 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Aho 51.3% vs Seguin 53.6% (-2.3%)
H2H factor
Seguin leads 20-12 in 32 meetings
Offensive zone
Aho 76.6%
Defensive zone
Seguin 58.5%
Neutral zone
Aho 53.7%
Result
Sebastian Aho favored at 52.2%
52.2%
47.8%
Aho
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
20
(32 meetings)
12
20
Aho
Seguin
Last 10: Aho 5-5 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Aho
4
3
Aho
Seguin
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
5
12
Aho
Seguin
17 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Seguin
3
5
Aho
Seguin
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Aho
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
50.1% (6,415)
53.7% (8,071)
-3.6%
Power Play
59.1% (1,297)
55.9% (810)
+3.2%
Penalty Kill
46.0% (446)
49.3% (762)
-3.3%
On even strength, Seguin has a +3.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Aho is 51.6% vs right-shot opponents (3,013).
Aho shoots left. Seguin is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (6,798).
Home / Away
Aho
Seguin
Home
52.4% (4,199)
55.9% (4,759)
Away
50.2% (3,959)
51.4% (4,885)
By Period
Aho
Seguin
P1
51.2%
52.8%
P2
52.1%
53.3%
P3
50.8%
54.7%
OT
48.9%
54.7%
Final 5 min
50.5%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Aho
54.0%▼
56.5%
51.3%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
53.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2025 | 1 | 19:21 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 25, 2024 | 3 | 16:35 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 25, 2024 | 3 | 15:24 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 25, 2024 | 2 | 10:19 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 25, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 25, 2024 | 1 | 15:06 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Feb 13, 2024 | 3 | 17:04 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 13, 2024 | 3 | 08:37 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Feb 13, 2024 | 1 | 09:53 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Jan 25, 2023 | 3 | 16:59 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Jan 25, 2023 | 3 | 01:18 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Jan 25, 2023 | 2 | 13:34 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Jan 25, 2023 | 1 | 08:46 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Mar 24, 2022 | 3 | 15:37 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Mar 24, 2022 | 3 | 08:18 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Feb 25, 2020 | 3 | 15:13 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 25, 2020 | 2 | 11:46 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Feb 25, 2020 | 2 | 11:41 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 25, 2020 | 1 | 04:12 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 25, 2020 | 1 | 00:51 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |