Sebastian Aho vs William Karlsson
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.3% vs 51.3%). Look for Aho on offensive-zone draws (59% H2H, 17 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Aho 51.3% vs Karlsson 51.3% (+0.0%)
H2H factor
Aho leads 22-18 in 40 meetings
Offensive zone
Aho 67.3%
Defensive zone
Karlsson 69.2%
Neutral zone
Karlsson 52.6%
Result
Sebastian Aho favored at 51.7%
51.7%
48.3%
Aho
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
22
-
18
(40 meetings)
22
18
Aho
Karlsson
Last 10: Aho 5-5 Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Aho
10
7
Aho
Karlsson
17 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
4
6
Aho
Karlsson
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Aho
8
5
Aho
Karlsson
13 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Aho
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
50.2% (6,646)
51.8% (7,849)
-1.6%
Power Play
58.9% (1,310)
54.8% (1,048)
+4.1%
Penalty Kill
46.5% (465)
44.2% (1,109)
+2.3%
On power play, Aho has a +4.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Aho is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (5,317).
Aho shoots left. Karlsson is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (6,551).
Home / Away
Aho
Karlsson
Home
52.4% (4,325)
52.0% (5,090)
Away
50.1% (4,096)
50.5% (4,916)
By Period
Aho
Karlsson
P1
51.1%
50.3%
P2
52.1%
51.3%
P3
50.8%
52.4%
OT
48.9%
44.9%
Final 5 min
50.4%
51.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Aho
60.0%▲
50.5%
51.3%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2025 | 3 | 00:47 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 2 | 05:36 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Oct 20, 2025 | 2 | 07:50 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Oct 20, 2025 | 2 | 03:35 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Oct 20, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Oct 20, 2025 | 1 | 19:56 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Nov 11, 2024 | 3 | 09:22 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Nov 11, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Feb 17, 2024 | 3 | 07:59 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Feb 17, 2024 | 3 | 00:19 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Feb 17, 2024 | 1 | 03:44 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Feb 17, 2024 | 1 | 03:40 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 2 | 08:41 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 1 | 16:53 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Mar 1, 2023 | 3 | 13:04 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Mar 1, 2023 | 2 | 18:51 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 1, 2023 | 2 | 06:01 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Jan 25, 2022 | 3 | 08:26 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Jan 25, 2022 | 3 | 06:31 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Jan 25, 2022 | 3 | 01:03 | Defensive | William Karlsson |