Scouting Report
Sebastian Aho holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Aho on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Aho wins 56.1% vs right-shot opponents — Johnston shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Aho 50.4% vs Johnston 48.1% (+2.7%)
H2H factor
Johnston leads 5-5 in 10 meetings
Result
Sebastian Aho favored at 52.3%
52.3%
47.7%
Aho
Johnston
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
5
(10 meetings)
5
5
Aho
Johnston
Last 10: Aho 5-5 Johnston
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johnston
0
2
Aho
Johnston
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Aho
2
1
Aho
Johnston
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Aho
3
2
Aho
Johnston
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Aho
Johnston
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (647)
47.2% (458)
+3.3%
Power Play
54.2% (131)
50.9% (55)
+3.3%
Penalty Kill
38.1% (42)
51.6% (31)
-13.5%
On penalty kill, Johnston has a +13.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnston shoots right. Aho is 56.1% vs right-shot opponents (289).
Aho shoots left. Johnston is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (408).
Home / Away
Aho
Johnston
Home
53.9% (445)
47.7% (243)
Away
46.4% (375)
47.8% (301)
By Period
Aho
Johnston
P1
48.7%
48.0%
P2
51.4%
48.2%
P3
50.8%
48.0%
OT
58.8%
33.3%
Final 5 min
49.5%
47.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Aho
54.0%▼
56.5%
50.5%
Johnston
44.0%▼
47.0%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 6, 2026 | 3 | 11:51 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 3 | 00:25 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 1 | 14:11 | Neutral | Wyatt Johnston |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 1 | 09:26 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 1 | 06:51 | Neutral | Wyatt Johnston |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 3 | 19:37 | Defensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 3 | 11:48 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 3 | 09:55 | Offensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 1 | 06:58 | Offensive | Wyatt Johnston |