Sebastian Aho vs Wyatt Johnston
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Sebastian Aho holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Aho on neutral-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Aho 51.3% vs Johnston 49.0% (+2.4%)
H2H factor
Johnston leads 14-14 in 28 meetings
Offensive zone
Aho 76.4%
Defensive zone
Johnston 67.6%
Neutral zone
Johnston 50.5%
Result
Wyatt Johnston favored at 50.8%
49.2%
50.8%
Aho
Johnston
Head-to-Head Record
14
-
14
(28 meetings)
14
14
Aho
Johnston
Last 10: Aho 5-5 Johnston
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johnston
3
5
Aho
Johnston
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johnston
6
7
Aho
Johnston
13 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Aho
5
2
Aho
Johnston
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Aho
Johnston
Edge
Even Strength
50.2% (6,646)
49.1% (2,232)
+1.1%
Power Play
58.9% (1,310)
52.5% (179)
+6.4%
Penalty Kill
46.5% (465)
44.7% (237)
+1.8%
On power play, Aho has a +6.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnston shoots right. Aho is 51.7% vs right-shot opponents (3,104).
Aho shoots left. Johnston is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,999).
Home / Away
Aho
Johnston
Home
52.4% (4,325)
49.2% (1,332)
Away
50.1% (4,096)
48.7% (1,316)
By Period
Aho
Johnston
P1
51.1%
50.0%
P2
52.1%
48.1%
P3
50.8%
48.6%
OT
48.9%
51.5%
Final 5 min
50.4%
48.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Aho
60.0%▲
50.5%
51.3%
Johnston
40.0%▼
49.0%
48.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 6, 2026 | 3 | 11:51 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 3 | 00:25 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 1 | 14:11 | Neutral | Wyatt Johnston |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 1 | 09:26 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 1 | 06:51 | Neutral | Wyatt Johnston |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 3 | 19:37 | Defensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 3 | 11:48 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 3 | 09:55 | Offensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 1 | 06:58 | Offensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Jan 21, 2025 | 3 | 08:20 | Offensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Jan 21, 2025 | 3 | 05:12 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Jan 21, 2025 | 3 | 01:43 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Jan 21, 2025 | 2 | 11:48 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Jan 21, 2025 | 1 | 11:25 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Jan 21, 2025 | 1 | 03:55 | Defensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Nov 25, 2024 | 3 | 07:51 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 25, 2024 | 1 | 06:06 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Feb 24, 2024 | 3 | 03:42 | Defensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Feb 24, 2024 | 3 | 03:35 | Defensive | Wyatt Johnston |