Sebastian Aho vs Wyatt Johnston
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Sebastian Aho holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Aho on neutral-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Aho 51.3% vs Johnston 49.1% (+2.2%)
H2H factor
Johnston leads 14-14 in 28 meetings
Offensive zone
Aho 77.6%
Defensive zone
Johnston 71.4%
Neutral zone
Johnston 50.4%
Result
Wyatt Johnston favored at 52.1%
47.9%
52.1%
Aho
Johnston
Head-to-Head Record
14
-
14
(28 meetings)
14
14
Aho
Johnston
Last 10: Aho 5-5 Johnston
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johnston
3
5
Aho
Johnston
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johnston
6
7
Aho
Johnston
13 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Aho
5
2
Aho
Johnston
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Aho
Johnston
Edge
Even Strength
50.1% (6,415)
49.3% (2,024)
+0.8%
Power Play
59.1% (1,297)
52.7% (165)
+6.4%
Penalty Kill
46.0% (446)
44.6% (233)
+1.4%
On power play, Aho has a +6.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnston shoots right. Aho is 51.6% vs right-shot opponents (3,013).
Aho shoots left. Johnston is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,840).
Home / Away
Aho
Johnston
Home
52.4% (4,199)
49.4% (1,211)
Away
50.2% (3,959)
48.7% (1,211)
By Period
Aho
Johnston
P1
51.2%
49.7%
P2
52.1%
48.5%
P3
50.8%
48.9%
OT
48.9%
48.0%
Final 5 min
50.5%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Aho
54.0%▼
56.5%
51.3%
Johnston
44.0%▼
47.0%
49.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 6, 2026 | 3 | 11:51 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 3 | 00:25 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 1 | 14:11 | Neutral | Wyatt Johnston |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 1 | 09:26 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 1 | 06:51 | Neutral | Wyatt Johnston |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 3 | 19:37 | Defensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 3 | 11:48 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 3 | 09:55 | Offensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 1 | 06:58 | Offensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Jan 21, 2025 | 3 | 08:20 | Offensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Jan 21, 2025 | 3 | 05:12 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Jan 21, 2025 | 3 | 01:43 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Jan 21, 2025 | 2 | 11:48 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Jan 21, 2025 | 1 | 11:25 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Jan 21, 2025 | 1 | 03:55 | Defensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Nov 25, 2024 | 3 | 07:51 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 25, 2024 | 1 | 06:06 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Feb 24, 2024 | 3 | 03:42 | Defensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Feb 24, 2024 | 3 | 03:35 | Defensive | Wyatt Johnston |