Scouting Report
Shane Pinto holds a +10.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pinto 51.1% vs Novak 42.5% (+10.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Novak 53.4%
Defensive zone
Pinto 93.9%
Neutral zone
Pinto 79.1%
Result
Shane Pinto favored at 86.5%
86.5%
13.5%
Pinto
Novak
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Pinto
Novak
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pinto
1
0
Pinto
Novak
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pinto
1
0
Pinto
Novak
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pinto
Novak
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (556)
40.4% (408)
+10.1%
Power Play
68.0% (25)
45.5% (33)
+22.5%
On power play, Pinto has a +22.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Novak shoots left. Pinto is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (491).
Pinto shoots right. Novak is 39.4% vs right-shot opponents (155).
Home / Away
Pinto
Novak
Home
50.0% (310)
42.0% (212)
Away
52.3% (365)
39.7% (229)
By Period
Pinto
Novak
P1
51.8%
41.9%
P2
49.8%
39.3%
P3
53.1%
42.1%
OT
44.4%
25.0%
Final 5 min
51.9%
39.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pinto
54.0%▲
52.5%
51.3%
Novak
32.0%▼
39.5%
40.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2026 | 3 | 00:53 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Mar 26, 2026 | 1 | 04:28 | Neutral | Shane Pinto |