Scouting Report
Shane Pinto holds a +7.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Pinto on defensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pinto 50.4% vs Novak 43.0% (+7.8%)
H2H factor
Pinto leads 12-2 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Pinto 71.1%
Defensive zone
Pinto 97.8%
Neutral zone
Pinto 92.0%
Result
Shane Pinto favored at 93.4%
93.4%
6.6%
Pinto
Novak
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
2
(14 meetings)
12
2
Pinto
Novak
Last 10: Pinto 10-0 Novak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pinto
1
0
Pinto
Novak
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pinto
6
1
Pinto
Novak
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pinto
5
1
Pinto
Novak
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pinto
Novak
Edge
Even Strength
50.7% (2,752)
41.8% (1,568)
+8.9%
Power Play
54.4% (90)
51.5% (134)
+2.9%
Penalty Kill
45.6% (239)
50.0% (2)
-4.4%
On even strength, Pinto has a +8.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Novak shoots left. Pinto is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (2,216).
Pinto shoots right. Novak is 41.6% vs right-shot opponents (611).
Home / Away
Pinto
Novak
Home
51.1% (1,510)
45.1% (831)
Away
49.6% (1,571)
40.2% (873)
By Period
Pinto
Novak
P1
48.4%
43.7%
P2
51.9%
42.8%
P3
50.9%
41.1%
OT
46.7%
57.1%
Final 5 min
50.0%
40.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pinto
54.0%▲
52.5%
50.4%
Novak
32.0%▼
39.5%
42.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2026 | 3 | 00:53 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Mar 26, 2026 | 1 | 04:28 | Neutral | Shane Pinto |
| Feb 3, 2025 | 1 | 10:27 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 3 | 16:47 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 3 | 12:52 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 3 | 12:37 | Neutral | Shane Pinto |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 2 | 05:07 | Neutral | Shane Pinto |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 1 | 04:56 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 1 | 01:31 | Offensive | Shane Pinto |
| Jan 29, 2024 | 3 | 08:02 | Neutral | Shane Pinto |
| Jan 9, 2023 | 3 | 07:30 | Neutral | Shane Pinto |
| Jan 9, 2023 | 2 | 13:53 | Neutral | Tommy Novak |
| Jan 9, 2023 | 1 | 10:10 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Jan 9, 2023 | 1 | 03:12 | Defensive | Tommy Novak |