Scouting Report
Shane Pinto holds a +18.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pinto 51.1% vs Zegras 37.0% (+18.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zegras 65.7%
Defensive zone
Pinto 92.5%
Neutral zone
Pinto 70.4%
Result
Shane Pinto favored at 72.0%
72.0%
28.0%
Pinto
Zegras
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Pinto
Zegras
Last 5: Pinto 3-2 Zegras
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zegras
0
1
Pinto
Zegras
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pinto
2
0
Pinto
Zegras
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Pinto
Zegras
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pinto
Zegras
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (556)
33.0% (264)
+17.5%
Power Play
68.0% (25)
32.1% (56)
+35.9%
Penalty Kill
51.1% (94)
50.0% (2)
+1.1%
On power play, Pinto has a +35.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zegras shoots left. Pinto is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (491).
Pinto shoots right. Zegras is 33.3% vs right-shot opponents (120).
Home / Away
Pinto
Zegras
Home
50.0% (310)
35.3% (173)
Away
52.3% (365)
30.2% (149)
By Period
Pinto
Zegras
P1
51.8%
33.0%
P2
49.8%
35.7%
P3
53.1%
29.7%
OT
44.4%
33.3%
Final 5 min
51.9%
29.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pinto
54.0%▲
52.5%
51.3%
Zegras
42.0%▲
28.0%
32.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 5, 2026 | 3 | 07:27 | Neutral | Shane Pinto |
| Feb 5, 2026 | 2 | 09:15 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 2 | 06:41 | Offensive | Trevor Zegras |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 3 | 04:16 | Neutral | Trevor Zegras |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 1 | 17:14 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |