Scouting Report
Shane Pinto holds a +11.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Pinto on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pinto 50.4% vs Zegras 39.5% (+11.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zegras 58.0%
Defensive zone
Pinto 94.5%
Neutral zone
Pinto 83.4%
Result
Shane Pinto favored at 78.6%
78.6%
21.4%
Pinto
Zegras
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Pinto
Zegras
Last 8: Pinto 5-3 Zegras
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zegras
0
2
Pinto
Zegras
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pinto
4
0
Pinto
Zegras
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Pinto
Zegras
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pinto
Zegras
Edge
Even Strength
50.7% (2,752)
39.0% (1,703)
+11.7%
Power Play
54.4% (90)
38.5% (148)
+15.9%
Penalty Kill
45.6% (239)
25.0% (8)
+20.6%
On penalty kill, Pinto has a +20.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zegras shoots left. Pinto is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (2,216).
Pinto shoots right. Zegras is 38.3% vs right-shot opponents (605).
Home / Away
Pinto
Zegras
Home
51.1% (1,510)
40.5% (908)
Away
49.6% (1,571)
37.3% (951)
By Period
Pinto
Zegras
P1
48.4%
40.0%
P2
51.9%
38.6%
P3
50.9%
38.2%
OT
46.7%
31.6%
Final 5 min
50.0%
40.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pinto
54.0%▲
52.5%
50.4%
Zegras
42.0%▲
28.0%
38.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 5, 2026 | 3 | 07:27 | Neutral | Shane Pinto |
| Feb 5, 2026 | 2 | 09:15 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 2 | 06:41 | Offensive | Trevor Zegras |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 3 | 04:16 | Neutral | Trevor Zegras |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 1 | 17:14 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Dec 1, 2024 | 2 | 07:45 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Dec 12, 2022 | 3 | 04:45 | Offensive | Trevor Zegras |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 1 | 00:20 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |