Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +14.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Crosby on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Crosby wins 57.4% vs right-shot opponents — Thompson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Crosby 56.6% vs Thompson 43.7% (+14.2%)
H2H factor
Crosby leads 11-5 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Crosby 92.6%
Defensive zone
Crosby 83.1%
Neutral zone
Crosby 90.4%
Result
Sidney Crosby favored at 87.3%
87.3%
12.7%
Crosby
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
5
(16 meetings)
11
5
Crosby
Thompson
Last 10: Crosby 8-2 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Crosby
Thompson
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
5
3
Crosby
Thompson
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Crosby
4
0
Crosby
Thompson
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Crosby
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
56.2% (1,451)
41.9% (597)
+14.3%
Power Play
61.4% (293)
50.5% (95)
+10.9%
Penalty Kill
55.3% (38)
25.0% (12)
+30.3%
On penalty kill, Crosby has a +30.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots right. Crosby is 57.4% vs right-shot opponents (618).
Crosby shoots left. Thompson is 42.0% vs left-shot opponents (514).
Home / Away
Crosby
Thompson
Home
59.1% (939)
47.1% (367)
Away
54.7% (843)
38.0% (337)
By Period
Crosby
Thompson
P1
54.9%
44.2%
P2
60.8%
41.6%
P3
55.4%
42.9%
OT
53.6%
25.0%
Final 5 min
56.7%
48.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Crosby
36.0%▼
52.5%
57.0%
Thompson
34.0%▼
41.5%
42.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 27, 2025 | 2 | 16:41 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 17, 2025 | 3 | 12:13 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 17, 2025 | 3 | 12:03 | Defensive | Tage Thompson |
| Oct 16, 2024 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 16, 2024 | 3 | 09:54 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 16, 2024 | 3 | 06:40 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 16, 2024 | 3 | 00:13 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |
| Oct 16, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 16, 2024 | 2 | 17:03 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 16, 2024 | 2 | 13:52 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 16, 2024 | 2 | 00:46 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 16, 2024 | 1 | 16:08 | Defensive | Tage Thompson |
| Oct 16, 2024 | 1 | 12:09 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |
| Oct 16, 2024 | 1 | 05:56 | Defensive | Tage Thompson |
| Oct 16, 2024 | 1 | 03:08 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 16, 2024 | 1 | 00:19 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |