Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +10.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Crosby on neutral-zone draws (70% H2H, 10 meetings). Crosby wins 57.3% vs right-shot opponents — Thompson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Crosby 55.1% vs Thompson 45.2% (+10.9%)
H2H factor
Crosby leads 9-5 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Crosby 84.3%
Defensive zone
Crosby 64.1%
Neutral zone
Crosby 74.5%
Result
Sidney Crosby favored at 73.0%
73.0%
27.0%
Crosby
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
5
(14 meetings)
9
5
Crosby
Thompson
Last 10: Crosby 5-5 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
0
1
Crosby
Thompson
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
2
1
Crosby
Thompson
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Crosby
7
3
Crosby
Thompson
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Crosby
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
53.3% (1,025)
44.6% (661)
+8.7%
Power Play
64.7% (249)
48.4% (95)
+16.3%
Penalty Kill
60.0% (15)
33.3% (33)
+26.7%
On penalty kill, Crosby has a +26.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots right. Crosby is 57.3% vs right-shot opponents (375).
Crosby shoots left. Thompson is 41.8% vs left-shot opponents (567).
Home / Away
Crosby
Thompson
Home
56.9% (675)
45.7% (411)
Away
54.1% (614)
43.4% (378)
By Period
Crosby
Thompson
P1
55.1%
47.7%
P2
53.1%
45.7%
P3
58.5%
40.5%
OT
54.2%
42.9%
Final 5 min
54.8%
42.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Crosby
46.0%▼
54.0%
55.5%
Thompson
36.0%▼
40.0%
44.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 5, 2026 | 3 | 16:23 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Feb 5, 2026 | 3 | 14:24 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Feb 5, 2026 | 3 | 14:14 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Feb 5, 2026 | 3 | 00:05 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Feb 5, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Feb 5, 2026 | 1 | 09:59 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |
| Feb 5, 2026 | 1 | 05:20 | Defensive | Tage Thompson |
| Feb 5, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 3 | 07:20 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 2 | 18:30 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 1 | 05:42 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |