Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +22.6% FO% edge overall. Crosby wins 54.8% vs left-shot opponents — Zegras shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Crosby 55.1% vs Zegras 37.0% (+22.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Crosby 67.3%
Defensive zone
Crosby 78.1%
Neutral zone
Crosby 77.4%
Result
Sidney Crosby favored at 78.1%
78.1%
21.9%
Crosby
Zegras
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Crosby
Zegras
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
1
0
Crosby
Zegras
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Crosby
Zegras
Edge
Even Strength
53.3% (1,025)
33.0% (264)
+20.3%
Power Play
64.7% (249)
32.1% (56)
+32.6%
Penalty Kill
60.0% (15)
50.0% (2)
+10.0%
On power play, Crosby has a +32.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zegras shoots left. Crosby is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (914).
Crosby shoots left. Zegras is 32.5% vs left-shot opponents (200).
Home / Away
Crosby
Zegras
Home
56.9% (675)
35.3% (173)
Away
54.1% (614)
30.2% (149)
By Period
Crosby
Zegras
P1
55.1%
33.0%
P2
53.1%
35.7%
P3
58.5%
29.7%
OT
54.2%
33.3%
Final 5 min
54.8%
29.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Crosby
46.0%▼
54.0%
55.5%
Zegras
42.0%▲
28.0%
32.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 1, 2025 | 3 | 10:34 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |