Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +14.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Crosby on defensive-zone draws (88% H2H, 8 meetings). Crosby wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Zegras shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Crosby 53.5% vs Zegras 39.5% (+14.6%)
H2H factor
Crosby leads 13-6 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
Crosby 94.9%
Defensive zone
Crosby 96.8%
Neutral zone
Crosby 95.5%
Result
Sidney Crosby favored at 95.9%
95.9%
4.1%
Crosby
Zegras
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
6
(19 meetings)
13
6
Crosby
Zegras
Last 10: Crosby 6-4 Zegras
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
4
1
Crosby
Zegras
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
7
1
Crosby
Zegras
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zegras
2
4
Crosby
Zegras
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Crosby
Zegras
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (18,031)
39.0% (1,703)
+13.8%
Power Play
57.4% (4,741)
38.5% (148)
+18.9%
Penalty Kill
47.0% (766)
25.0% (8)
+22.0%
On penalty kill, Crosby has a +22.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zegras shoots left. Crosby is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (14,886).
Crosby shoots left. Zegras is 39.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,252).
Home / Away
Crosby
Zegras
Home
55.0% (11,998)
40.5% (908)
Away
52.0% (11,559)
37.3% (951)
By Period
Crosby
Zegras
P1
53.6%
40.0%
P2
53.8%
38.6%
P3
53.3%
38.2%
OT
49.6%
31.6%
Final 5 min
52.4%
40.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Crosby
46.0%▼
54.0%
53.5%
Zegras
42.0%▲
28.0%
38.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 1, 2025 | 3 | 10:34 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 3 | 16:53 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 31, 2024 | 3 | 14:45 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 31, 2024 | 3 | 01:29 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 31, 2024 | 1 | 19:06 | Defensive | Trevor Zegras |
| Oct 31, 2024 | 1 | 11:47 | Offensive | Trevor Zegras |
| Oct 30, 2023 | 3 | 13:07 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 30, 2023 | 1 | 14:01 | Neutral | Trevor Zegras |
| Feb 10, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Trevor Zegras |
| Feb 10, 2023 | 2 | 18:31 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Feb 10, 2023 | 1 | 15:26 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 16, 2023 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Trevor Zegras |
| Jan 16, 2023 | 3 | 10:37 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 16, 2023 | 2 | 19:05 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 16, 2023 | 2 | 08:46 | Neutral | Trevor Zegras |
| Jan 11, 2022 | 3 | 11:08 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 11, 2021 | 2 | 16:13 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 11, 2021 | 2 | 05:39 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 11, 2021 | 1 | 13:47 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |