Steven Stamkos vs William Karlsson
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
William Karlsson holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Stamkos wins 58.6% vs left-shot opponents — Karlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stamkos 55.4% vs Karlsson 54.7% (-1.1%)
Offensive zone
Stamkos 68.2%
Defensive zone
Karlsson 71.4%
Neutral zone
Stamkos 60.2%
Result
Steven Stamkos favored at 52.3%
52.3%
47.7%
Stamkos
Karlsson
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stamkos
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
57.1% (368)
58.5% (135)
-1.4%
Power Play
55.2% (96)
80.0% (5)
-24.8%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (10)
44.4% (18)
+5.6%
On power play, Karlsson has a +24.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Stamkos is 58.6% vs left-shot opponents (353).
Stamkos shoots right. Karlsson is 71.1% vs right-shot opponents (38).
Home / Away
Stamkos
Karlsson
Home
53.9% (230)
63.7% (91)
Away
59.0% (244)
49.3% (67)
By Period
Stamkos
Karlsson
P1
56.7%
54.4%
P2
54.1%
66.7%
P3
59.2%
51.9%
OT
62.5%
100.0%
Final 5 min
59.3%
54.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stamkos
66.0%▲
56.5%
56.5%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
57.6%