Steven Stamkos vs William Karlsson
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.1% vs 51.3%). Look for Karlsson on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 18 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stamkos 51.1% vs Karlsson 51.3% (-0.2%)
H2H factor
Karlsson leads 30-24 in 54 meetings
Offensive zone
Stamkos 64.6%
Defensive zone
Karlsson 60.3%
Neutral zone
Karlsson 52.1%
Result
Steven Stamkos favored at 51.6%
51.6%
48.4%
Stamkos
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
24
-
30
(54 meetings)
24
30
Stamkos
Karlsson
Last 10: Stamkos 7-3 Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
13
8
Stamkos
Karlsson
21 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
3
15
Stamkos
Karlsson
18 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stamkos
8
7
Stamkos
Karlsson
15 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stamkos
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (9,825)
51.8% (7,849)
-1.3%
Power Play
55.2% (1,729)
54.8% (1,048)
+0.4%
Penalty Kill
49.6% (827)
44.2% (1,109)
+5.4%
On penalty kill, Stamkos has a +5.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Stamkos is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (8,806).
Stamkos shoots right. Karlsson is 52.2% vs right-shot opponents (3,455).
Home / Away
Stamkos
Karlsson
Home
52.8% (6,270)
52.0% (5,090)
Away
49.3% (6,137)
50.5% (4,916)
By Period
Stamkos
Karlsson
P1
49.2%
50.3%
P2
52.7%
51.3%
P3
50.9%
52.4%
OT
54.3%
44.9%
Final 5 min
52.3%
51.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stamkos
66.0%▲
56.5%
51.1%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2025 | 3 | 16:33 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 3 | 00:33 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 2 | 11:34 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 2 | 08:38 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 2 | 08:26 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 2 | 00:57 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Jan 14, 2025 | 3 | 03:52 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Jan 14, 2025 | 3 | 00:16 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Jan 14, 2025 | 2 | 17:56 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Jan 14, 2025 | 2 | 05:29 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Jan 14, 2025 | 1 | 17:15 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Jan 14, 2025 | 1 | 09:34 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Jan 14, 2025 | 1 | 05:25 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Jan 14, 2025 | 1 | 05:20 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 19, 2024 | 3 | 18:44 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 19, 2024 | 2 | 06:24 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 19, 2024 | 1 | 11:44 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Mar 9, 2023 | 3 | 06:50 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Mar 9, 2023 | 2 | 19:38 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Mar 9, 2023 | 2 | 14:38 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |