Scouting Report
Pavel Zacha holds a +7.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Zacha on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zacha 51.8% vs Thompson 45.2% (+7.4%)
H2H factor
Zacha leads 8-2 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Zacha 79.3%
Defensive zone
Zacha 94.6%
Neutral zone
Zacha 86.7%
Result
Pavel Zacha favored at 88.4%
88.4%
11.6%
Zacha
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
2
(10 meetings)
8
2
Zacha
Thompson
Last 10: Zacha 8-2 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
2
0
Zacha
Thompson
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
4
0
Zacha
Thompson
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Zacha
Thompson
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zacha
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
53.0% (700)
44.6% (661)
+8.4%
Power Play
54.1% (109)
48.4% (95)
+5.7%
Penalty Kill
39.2% (74)
33.3% (33)
+5.9%
On even strength, Zacha has a +8.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots right. Zacha is 52.5% vs right-shot opponents (362).
Zacha shoots left. Thompson is 41.8% vs left-shot opponents (567).
Home / Away
Zacha
Thompson
Home
51.6% (438)
45.7% (411)
Away
52.4% (445)
43.4% (378)
By Period
Zacha
Thompson
P1
57.0%
47.7%
P2
48.9%
45.7%
P3
50.5%
40.5%
OT
42.1%
42.9%
Final 5 min
48.0%
42.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zacha
56.0%▲
50.0%
52.0%
Thompson
36.0%▼
40.0%
44.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 3 | 19:33 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 3 | 17:13 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 3 | 00:25 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 2 | 17:47 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 2 | 12:47 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 1 | 10:23 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 1 | 02:30 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |