Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +9.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thompson 45.2% vs Seguin 52.5% (-9.0%)
Offensive zone
Thompson 55.5%
Defensive zone
Seguin 60.0%
Neutral zone
Thompson 55.5%
Result
Tage Thompson favored at 50.4%
50.4%
49.6%
Thompson
Seguin
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thompson
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
44.6% (661)
53.2% (201)
-8.6%
Power Play
48.4% (95)
60.0% (25)
-11.6%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (33)
44.4% (9)
-11.1%
On power play, Seguin has a +11.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Thompson is 51.8% vs right-shot opponents (222).
Thompson shoots right. Seguin is 56.3% vs right-shot opponents (48).
Home / Away
Thompson
Seguin
Home
45.7% (411)
56.3% (126)
Away
43.4% (378)
50.5% (109)
By Period
Thompson
Seguin
P1
47.7%
44.3%
P2
45.7%
52.1%
P3
40.5%
62.5%
OT
42.9%
80.0%
Final 5 min
42.1%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thompson
36.0%▼
40.0%
44.6%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
53.6%