Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +10.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Seguin on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thompson 42.9% vs Seguin 53.6% (-10.9%)
H2H factor
Seguin leads 9-4 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Thompson 79.7%
Defensive zone
Thompson 80.5%
Neutral zone
Thompson 78.7%
Result
Tage Thompson favored at 79.6%
79.6%
20.4%
Thompson
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
9
(13 meetings)
4
9
Thompson
Seguin
Last 10: Thompson 3-7 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
1
4
Thompson
Seguin
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
3
1
Thompson
Seguin
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
4
Thompson
Seguin
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thompson
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
43.0% (3,363)
53.7% (8,071)
-10.7%
Power Play
46.9% (369)
55.9% (810)
-9.0%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (252)
49.3% (762)
-16.0%
On penalty kill, Seguin has a +16.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Thompson is 47.6% vs right-shot opponents (1,110).
Thompson shoots right. Seguin is 54.1% vs right-shot opponents (2,846).
Home / Away
Thompson
Seguin
Home
45.1% (2,037)
55.9% (4,759)
Away
40.2% (1,947)
51.4% (4,885)
By Period
Thompson
Seguin
P1
44.7%
52.8%
P2
43.5%
53.3%
P3
40.3%
54.7%
OT
37.5%
54.7%
Final 5 min
41.2%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thompson
34.0%▼
41.5%
42.7%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
53.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 2024 | 3 | 06:38 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Apr 9, 2024 | 3 | 18:52 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Apr 9, 2024 | 3 | 11:17 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Apr 9, 2024 | 1 | 17:52 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Apr 9, 2024 | 1 | 06:37 | Defensive | Tage Thompson |
| Jan 23, 2023 | 3 | 04:14 | Defensive | Tage Thompson |
| Jan 23, 2023 | 3 | 04:02 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 27, 2022 | 1 | 07:30 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Jan 20, 2022 | 3 | 06:10 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Jan 20, 2022 | 2 | 11:03 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Jan 20, 2022 | 1 | 15:00 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Jan 20, 2022 | 1 | 04:37 | Defensive | Tage Thompson |