Scouting Report
Timo Meier holds a +22.5% FO% edge overall. Meier wins 43.8% vs right-shot opponents — Toffoli shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Meier 48.0% vs Toffoli 45.5% (+22.5%)
Offensive zone
Meier 50.3%
Defensive zone
Meier 64.6%
Neutral zone
Meier 51.6%
Result
Timo Meier favored at 55.5%
55.5%
44.5%
Meier
Toffoli
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Meier
Toffoli
Edge
Even Strength
41.1% (95)
25.0% (20)
+16.1%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
0.0% (1)
+50.0%
On penalty kill, Meier has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toffoli shoots right. Meier is 43.8% vs right-shot opponents (48).
Meier shoots left. Toffoli is 26.7% vs left-shot opponents (15).
Home / Away
Meier
Toffoli
Home
40.4% (57)
20.0% (10)
Away
51.5% (66)
27.3% (11)
By Period
Meier
Toffoli
P1
34.0%
80.0%
P2
50.9%
14.3%
P3
60.9%
0.0%
Final 5 min
50.0%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Meier
48.0%▲
45.0%
46.3%
Toffoli
38.0%▼
42.5%
23.8%