Scouting Report
Timo Meier holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Meier wins 41.4% vs right-shot opponents — Toffoli shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Meier 44.0% vs Toffoli 43.0% (+2.1%)
Offensive zone
Toffoli 53.9%
Defensive zone
Toffoli 50.7%
Neutral zone
Meier 50.2%
Result
Tyler Toffoli favored at 51.5%
48.5%
51.5%
Meier
Toffoli
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Meier
Toffoli
Edge
Even Strength
41.3% (470)
41.2% (274)
+0.1%
Power Play
51.5% (103)
45.0% (40)
+6.5%
Penalty Kill
35.7% (14)
26.3% (19)
+9.4%
On penalty kill, Meier has a +9.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toffoli shoots right. Meier is 41.4% vs right-shot opponents (249).
Meier shoots left. Toffoli is 41.8% vs left-shot opponents (225).
Home / Away
Meier
Toffoli
Home
43.2% (280)
44.5% (155)
Away
42.7% (307)
37.6% (178)
By Period
Meier
Toffoli
P1
43.3%
47.4%
P2
44.7%
39.8%
P3
40.4%
32.9%
OT
0.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
38.5%
33.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Meier
48.0%▲
45.0%
42.9%
Toffoli
38.0%▼
42.5%
40.8%