Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +9.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Hertl on neutral-zone draws (90% H2H, 10 meetings). Roslovic wins 45.6% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roslovic 45.1% vs Hertl 54.3% (-9.3%)
H2H factor
Hertl leads 18-7 in 25 meetings
Offensive zone
Roslovic 88.3%
Defensive zone
Roslovic 95.4%
Neutral zone
Roslovic 95.2%
Result
Jack Roslovic favored at 93.0%
93.0%
7.0%
Roslovic
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
18
(25 meetings)
7
18
Roslovic
Hertl
Last 10: Roslovic 2-8 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
4
4
Roslovic
Hertl
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
2
5
Roslovic
Hertl
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hertl
1
9
Roslovic
Hertl
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roslovic
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
45.0% (3,012)
53.9% (8,303)
-8.9%
Power Play
48.4% (341)
59.2% (1,995)
-10.8%
Penalty Kill
34.3% (105)
46.3% (806)
-12.0%
On penalty kill, Hertl has a +12.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Roslovic is 45.6% vs left-shot opponents (2,387).
Roslovic shoots right. Hertl is 56.9% vs right-shot opponents (4,142).
Home / Away
Roslovic
Hertl
Home
44.0% (1,739)
55.8% (5,382)
Away
46.0% (1,719)
52.9% (5,722)
By Period
Roslovic
Hertl
P1
45.5%
53.6%
P2
44.9%
54.2%
P3
44.8%
55.3%
OT
31.8%
46.9%
Final 5 min
44.3%
54.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roslovic
58.0%▲
52.5%
45.0%
Hertl
66.0%▲
61.0%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2026 | 3 | 13:14 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 26, 2026 | 3 | 02:01 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 26, 2026 | 2 | 13:25 | Defensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Mar 26, 2026 | 1 | 06:48 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 21, 2025 | 3 | 16:01 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 21, 2025 | 2 | 13:43 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 11, 2024 | 2 | 07:17 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 14, 2023 | 3 | 17:14 | Offensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Mar 14, 2023 | 1 | 08:29 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 21, 2023 | 3 | 12:38 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 21, 2023 | 3 | 10:30 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 21, 2023 | 2 | 17:03 | Defensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Jan 21, 2023 | 2 | 13:44 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 21, 2023 | 2 | 07:59 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 21, 2023 | 1 | 16:27 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 21, 2023 | 1 | 09:41 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Apr 19, 2022 | 2 | 15:30 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Apr 19, 2022 | 2 | 04:43 | Offensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Apr 19, 2022 | 1 | 09:55 | Offensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Apr 19, 2022 | 1 | 09:48 | Offensive | Jack Roslovic |