Scouting Report
Jamie Benn holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Benn on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 9 meetings). Benn wins 58.4% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Benn 54.7% vs Hertl 52.3% (+2.7%)
H2H factor
Benn leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Benn 65.1%
Defensive zone
Benn 51.7%
Neutral zone
Benn 50.1%
Result
Jamie Benn favored at 63.6%
63.6%
36.4%
Benn
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
3
(10 meetings)
7
3
Benn
Hertl
Last 10: Benn 7-3 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Benn
6
3
Benn
Hertl
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Benn
1
0
Benn
Hertl
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Benn
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
55.3% (709)
51.6% (1,084)
+3.7%
Power Play
58.3% (127)
61.0% (246)
-2.7%
Penalty Kill
47.3% (55)
44.1% (136)
+3.2%
On even strength, Benn has a +3.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Benn is 58.4% vs left-shot opponents (543).
Benn shoots left. Hertl is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (940).
Home / Away
Benn
Hertl
Home
56.2% (443)
55.2% (696)
Away
54.2% (448)
50.0% (770)
By Period
Benn
Hertl
P1
55.4%
55.4%
P2
54.1%
54.8%
P3
55.6%
48.9%
OT
71.4%
33.3%
Final 5 min
58.9%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Benn
52.0%▼
54.0%
55.2%
Hertl
58.0%▬
58.5%
52.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 16, 2022 | 1 | 09:36 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Apr 2, 2022 | 3 | 01:48 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Apr 2, 2022 | 2 | 10:57 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Apr 2, 2022 | 2 | 05:47 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Apr 2, 2022 | 1 | 18:38 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Dec 11, 2021 | 2 | 15:18 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Dec 11, 2021 | 2 | 09:52 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Dec 11, 2021 | 1 | 19:06 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Dec 11, 2021 | 1 | 17:08 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Dec 11, 2021 | 1 | 11:07 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |