Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +25.2% FO% edge overall. Hertl wins 57.1% vs left-shot opponents — Zegras shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hertl 57.5% vs Zegras 37.0% (+25.2%)
Offensive zone
Hertl 51.6%
Defensive zone
Hertl 59.6%
Neutral zone
Hertl 66.2%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 59.1%
59.1%
40.9%
Hertl
Zegras
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hertl
Zegras
Edge
Even Strength
58.7% (858)
33.0% (264)
+25.7%
Power Play
55.8% (285)
32.1% (56)
+23.7%
Penalty Kill
62.9% (35)
50.0% (2)
+12.9%
On even strength, Hertl has a +25.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zegras shoots left. Hertl is 57.1% vs left-shot opponents (736).
Hertl shoots left. Zegras is 32.5% vs left-shot opponents (200).
Home / Away
Hertl
Zegras
Home
60.1% (599)
35.3% (173)
Away
56.1% (579)
30.2% (149)
By Period
Hertl
Zegras
P1
52.4%
33.0%
P2
63.9%
35.7%
P3
58.5%
29.7%
OT
33.3%
33.3%
Final 5 min
59.5%
29.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hertl
66.0%▲
61.0%
58.1%
Zegras
42.0%▲
28.0%
32.9%